{"product_id":"understanding-uncertainty","title":"Understanding Uncertainty","description":"\u003cp\u003eA lively and informal introduction to the role of uncertainty and probability in peoples lives from an everyday perspective  From television game shows and gambling techniques to weather forecasting and the financial markets  virtually every aspect of modern life involves situations in which the outcomes are uncertain and of varying qualities. But as noted statistician Dennis Lindley writes in this distinctive text  \"We want you to face up to uncertainty  not hide it away under false concepts  but to understand it and  moreover  to use the recent discoveries so that you can act in the face of uncertainty more sensibly than would have been possible without the skill.\"  Accessibly written at an elementary level  this outstanding text examines uncertainty in various everyday situations and introduces readers to three rules--craftily laid out in the book--that prove uncertainty can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Combining a concept of utility with probability  the book insightfully demonstrates how uncertainty can be measured and used in everyday life  especially in decision-making and science.  With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations  Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and:  Explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty  its truths  and its falsehoods  Explores what has been learned in the twentieth century about uncertainty  Provides a logical  sensible method for acting in the face of uncertainty  Presents vignettes of great discoveries made in the twentieth century  Shows readers how to discern if another person--whether a lawyer  politician  scientist  or journalist--is talking sense  posing the right questions  or obtaining sound answers  Requiring only a basic understanding of mathematical concepts and operations  Understanding Uncertainty is useful as a text for all students who have probability or statistics as part of their course  even at the most introductory level.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"My Store","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":44985938870325,"sku":"ByrdShop_0470043830","price":95.0,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0627\/8139\/0901\/files\/9780470043837.jpg?v=1770878261","url":"https:\/\/atxbooks.com\/products\/understanding-uncertainty","provider":"ATX Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}